Redesigning AI by Daron Acemoglu

Author:Daron Acemoglu [Acemoglu, Daron]
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 9781946511621
Publisher: MIT Press
Published: 2021-05-05T00:00:00+00:00

IT IS NOT TOO LATE

Daron Acemoglu

i am grateful to the respondents for these thoughtful replies. I am particularly heartened by the broad agreement that the U.S. labor market, like that of other industrialized nations, is fundamentally not working—and that AI isn't helping. Beyond this consensus, however, there are many important nuances in these comments. It is impossible to do justice to all of them here, but they can be usefully separated into four groups.

The first is the most optimistic. Erik Brynjolfsson and Lama Nachman agree with the broad outlines of my critique of the current course of AI development, but they are more sanguine than others about the future—and about what is already going on in the industry. Particularly on point is Brynjolfsson's contention that “the real challenge is wages, not jobs.” Nachman is right, too, when she emphasizes “the complementary nature of human and AI capabilities.” One helpful example is Brynjolfsson's discussion of Cresta's work on chat bots. And as both point out, much more can be done when it comes for AI's opportunities to empower rather than replace humans.

Yet I do not see these technologies becoming central in the current environment without significant efforts at redirection. Automation and monitoring remain the main focus of AI development, and a few large companies with a strong focus on algorithmic automation are having an oversize impact on the direction of this technology. Consistent with this, my recent research with David Autor, Joe Hazell, and Pascual Restrepo suggests that a lot of current AI is in automation mode, rather than the more collaborative mode Brynjolfsson and Nachman envision. I hope time—and our efforts at redirection—will prove them right and me wrong.

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